Subject: Carrington Labs May Have Overstated Case For Experimental AIDS and Cancer Drug Date: Published: 7/9/90 (116 lines) Source: Wall Street Journal. Copyright Dow Jones & Co. Inc. Heard on the Street: Carrington Labs May Have Overstated Case For Experimental AIDS and Cancer Drug ---- By Roger Lowenstein Staff Reporter of The Wall Street Journal NEW YORK -- How can investors appraise the merits of a company whose future rides on developing an experimental and technologically sophisticated product? Often, it's impossible to predict how the product will fare. In such cases, investors should pay particular attention to the quality of the company's disclosures. Consider the case of tiny Carrington Laboratories. The Irving, Texas, company has $8 million in sales, $7 million in net worth, and no earnings. Yet its stock is valued at $125 million -- largely because Carrington is touting the potential of a drug it produces from an extract of aloe vera. On a radio broadcast in February, a Carrington official spoke of improvements by acquired-immune-deficiency-syndrome and cancer patients who had received either the drug or juice from the aloe plant itself. Carrington also says its drug might be useful in treating scores of other ailments. And at a recent AIDS conference in San Francisco, Carrington said its drug "significantly improved the effectiveness of AZT in a six-month clinical trial of 47 patients infected with the AIDS virus." AZT, marketed by British-based Wellcome, is the only drug approved for treating AIDS. Carrington, in a news release, went on to say that based on the results of the trial, conducted in Belgium, "researchers" have recommended a larger study and that Carrington "plans to market {its drug}, when approved, under the trade name Carrisyn." This is news to quicken one's pulse. However, for some years, Carrington has been saying that the Belgian trial would test whether Carrisyn would, by itself, be effective in treating AIDS, and whether it would enhance AZT's performance. Nathan Clumeck, head of infectious diseases at St. Pierre University Hospital in Brussels, performed the trial. He says the trial -- by no means conclusive -- didn't show any benefit from using Carrisyn alone, or that Carrisyn is an anti-viral agent. Carrington's news release didn't refer to results of testing Carrisyn on its own. Also, of the 47 patients referred to in the release, the "significant" result is based on only 18 patients. The others either dropped out during the trials or were participating in the trial of Carrisyn on its own. (This was disclosed by Dr. Clumeck in a technical abstract in San Francisco.) Carrington denies that its new release is incomplete. Clinton Howard, Carrington's president and largest stockholder, says, "It doesn't matter" how many people participate in the trial "as long as you achieve statistical significance." But experts put great emphasis on the size of such trials. Dr. Clumeck says, "This compound could act as an immunal stimulant in patients who receive AZT. {But} this was a small number of patients. It was a very preliminary study." Carrington says it didn't disclose the result of testing Carrisyn on its own because the test was "inconclusive." Nonetheless, William McAnalley, Carrington's chief of research, says, "Its more significant {AIDS} use will be in conjunction with AZT. " If so, Carrisyn's uniqueness is far from clear. Joyce Thomson, a spokeswoman for Wellcome in London, says that according to company scientists, "there are tens and tens of potential products, some of which are being tested with AZT and some of which have shown some promising results." Wellcome has contacted the makers of some of these other drugs, though not, as far as she knows, of Carrisyn. Carrington also didn't disclose that, after a 30-minute presentation by the company in May to the National Institute for Allergy and Infectious Diseases, the latter decided against recommending federal funds for clinical trials of Carrisyn. Carrington says not all its results from the Belgian trial were available in May. "There is a real story here," Mr. Howard says. "For five years a group of short-sellers have been saying that Carrisyn was just a hoax. Now a world-class scientist has done a very well-controlled study showing it is effective." Indeed, though it has yet to seek approval from the Food and Drug Administration, Mr. McAnalley says "There is no question in my mind we will get approval to sell it." An FDA spokesman says, "That's their opinion." In general, officials of Carrington, which relies on periodic stock sales to fund operations, describe their drug more or less as a front-runner in the AIDS battle. One says that, compared with other drugs, Carrisyn is "overwhelmingly significant." But the clear impression from scientists, drug industry executives and the alternative AIDS research community is that aloe vera -- long used for healing wounds -- is one of a large number of "maybes" in the AIDS battle. John James, editor of Aids Treatment News in San Francisco, says "I've been aware of it for years. I knew several people using it, but right now there is less interest in it." --- Carrington Laboratories (OTC; Symbol: CARN) Business: Pharmaceuticals Year ended Nov. 30, 1989: Sales: $8.1 million Net loss: $1.7 million; or 32 cents a share Average daily trading volume: 43,955 shares Common shares outstanding: 6.4 million [This article is made available here by Dow Jones Co. for the personal and non-commercial use of callers to this bbs, in the hope that it will be of some help to those who are suffering from the disease and others who are seeking to help them.]